Polymarket Trader

Jbetour

0x700c72df61930af435b565369bcb382d8282d237

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $710.88
Realized PnL: $420.05
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $702.54
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $8.08K
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$297.46

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$15.9

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $716.04
Potential profit: $716.04
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.54
Potential profit: $555.54
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.38
Potential profit: $428.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.7
Potential profit: $412.7
User PnL: -$26

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.48
Potential profit: $248.48
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.67
Potential profit: $191.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.28
Potential profit: $140.28
User PnL: -$14.03

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.31
Potential profit: $79.31
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $58.33
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.18
Potential profit: $53.18
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.98

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Yes 11.4% 8,781.79 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 412.7 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes 4.6% 166.66 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 115.11 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 98.03 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.3% 476.19 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Yes 3.2% 248.48 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?

No 1% 100 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 98.5% 228.4 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.4% 2,500 shares