Polymarket Trader

cryptofund

0x7018ba02d635bd8afc0fa8d0cb45d073cc7e98c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.96K
Realized PnL: $2.11K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $603.1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$551

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.7

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.98

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.44

Yes position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.23

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$218.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 23% 2,173.91 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 22% 909.09 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 76.1% 394.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Yes 22.9% 2,186.44 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 2.9% 344.83 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 94.2% 99.99 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 81% 132.27 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 60% 264.54 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 60.4% 165.44 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 55% 363.64 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Yes 64.5% 200 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 37.4% 138.89 shares