Polymarket Trader

0x7018D36359Aa3bFB96BE56BeeDEeaa7cDa4E6057-1750341929310

0x7018d36359aa3bfb96be56beedeeaa7cda4e6057

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $142.64
Realized PnL: $4.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660.9
Potential profit: $660.9
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $411.04
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$94.37

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $103.26
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $114.13
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.38

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.68

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.91

Yes position

Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.93

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.12

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.72

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.69

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.58

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.79

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.91

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.01

Yes position

Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

Yes position

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.85

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Yes 3.2% 51.28 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 2.1% 333.33 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 21% 357.14 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 60% 50 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Yes 39% 51.28 shares
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 30% 333.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 46% 217.39 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 37% 270.27 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes 26% 769.23 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 7% 333.33 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 4% 1,111.11 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 5% 625 shares