Polymarket Trader

seb.lawrence2003

0x7022e08767ddbd630e60225cd47248ef5691cfbd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.95
Realized PnL: $1.34K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $104.95
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$150.05

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.32
Potential profit: $900.32
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $824.67
Potential profit: $824.67
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.14
Potential profit: $507.14
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.09
Potential profit: $483.09
User PnL: -$13.99

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.62
Potential profit: $97.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.66

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$66.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Yes 20% 250 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Yes 72% 69.44 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 27% 185.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Yes 7% 714.29 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 20.5% 97.62 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 50% 200 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 6% 117.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 811.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 17.9% 558.74 shares