Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $441
- Potential profit
- $441
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Polymarket Trader
FlyBagTest
0x70237ecf8de0564eb960e9af86f3e2e36d42db8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.44
- Realized PnL
- $35.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.92
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.69
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?Yes 98.8% 5 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 14?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?No 61% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 12?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?No 75% 2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?Yes 44% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?Yes 32% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?No 69% 2 shares