sewew

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.3
Potential profit: $133.3
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $126.2
Potential profit: $126.14
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.4
Potential profit: $112.4
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.7
Potential profit: $85.7
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.86
Potential profit: $54.86
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.76
Potential profit: $47.76
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.55
Potential profit: $46.55
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.31
Potential profit: $38.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $29.76
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.84
Potential payout: $26.86
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $25.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.38
Potential profit: $26.38
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.81
Potential profit: $25.81
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.48
Potential profit: $22.48
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.95
Potential profit: $18.95
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $17.69
Potential profit: $17.63
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.59
Potential profit: $17.59
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.18
Potential profit: $17.18
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $14.01
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 16?