Polymarket Trader

0x687469854a061C98541bA53D6F1315E015a314A4-1761579471286

0x702e269fb533297b79ac7467405349bfc5965cf6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.97
Realized PnL: $372.52
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.37
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $260.79
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $99.88
Potential payout: $240.38
Potential profit: $140.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $35.72
Potential payout: $183.2
Potential profit: $147.48
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $15.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.51
Potential profit: $43.51
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.59
Potential profit: $40.59
User PnL: -$9.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.86
Potential profit: $34.86
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 85% 11.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Down 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Down 26% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Down 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 92% 10.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Down 16.5% 24.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Down 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Down 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Up 38% 13.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Down 36% 13.89 shares