Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $288
- Potential profit
- $216
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.96
Polymarket Trader
AustinWhitaker3069
0x7039b2558f3fa83856ee251f8c4aa58f39922d8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.94
- Realized PnL
- $1.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $186.2
- Potential payout
- $245
- Potential profit
- $58.8
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $31.85
No position
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $44.24
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.97
Hapoel Tel Aviv position
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.73
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.6
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.96
Yes position
Will "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.46
No position
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.07
No position
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.19
Jacksonville State Gamecocks position
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.69
Yes position
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.18
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $31.92
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $31.68
No position
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.98
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.96
Yes position
Will Trump post "Nasty" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.27
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $15.52
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.45
No position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 245 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 598 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 204 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?No 45% 188 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?No 45% 284 shares
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 82% 698 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?No 47% 472 shares
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 83% 698 shares
- Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?No 53% 625 shares
- Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?No 61% 625 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes 57% 98 shares
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC 84% 55 shares