Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
floss-duff
0x70470e531f08d8982a40b65d7c3529232c4a8352
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.21
- Realized PnL
- $78.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or higher on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.33
- Potential profit
- $343.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.62
- Potential profit
- $56.62
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $10.53
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $42.11
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $9.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.23
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $24.36
- Potential profit
- $24.26
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.61
- Potential profit
- $20.61
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.51
- Potential profit
- $19.51
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.58
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $1.51
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Yes position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?No 1.9% 52.63 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 85% 1.5 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 25% 5.5 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 0.43 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 86% 2.79 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 24% 5 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 4.1% 37 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 20% 10.5 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 6% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?No 9% 3.21 shares