No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.22
- Potential payout
- $6.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Polymarket Trader
chadae
0x704bc091f0c601407febe08621717de9358f03ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.04
- Realized PnL
- -$0.59
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $5.74
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $5.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Republican position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Everton wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Saints win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Rainbow airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?No 98.7% 5.07 shares
- Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No 96.5% 6.22 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No 93.5% 8.27 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No 94.7% 5.74 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes 86.9% 1.15 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?No 99.7% 5.02 shares
- Chelsea wins the Premier League?No 99.8% 5.01 shares
- Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?No 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Pete Sessions be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No 99.7% 4.01 shares
- Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes 94.7% 0.42 shares
- Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No 99.3% 5.73 shares