No position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
Polymarket Trader
0x704e...f127
0x704e8694b2c1b2bd0384e274134a50ce5ed5f127
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $67.42
- Realized PnL
- $0.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes 41% 13 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No 61% 9 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No 62% 16 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes 39% 7 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 51% 15 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99.4% 43 shares