Polymarket Trader

defzzer

0x7069303c518d0001088b96d664537288b0ecec7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $152.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.22
Potential profit: $80.22
User PnL: -$30.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.08
Potential profit: $72.08
User PnL: -$25.99

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.17
Potential profit: $32.17
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $24.59
User PnL: -$1

DRX position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.97
Potential profit: $17.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $13.39
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.1
Potential profit: $12.1
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.69
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.56
Potential profit: $8.56
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62
Potential profit: $6.62
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.36

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 3.13 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?

Yes 70% 2.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?

Yes 50.5% 1.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Down 34% 2.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 84% 23.81 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 74% 27.39 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 79% 55.7 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 64% 32.78 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 54% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on May 20?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares