Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $198.82
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$11.69
Polymarket Trader
Liamyy
0x706edd401dad94504793f8c0867b607f0f161f82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $497.1
- Realized PnL
- $240.74
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $298.28
- Potential payout
- $353
- Potential profit
- $54.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $213.13
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.32
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No 85% 353 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 92.3% 475 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 93.8% 177 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 93.8% 323 shares
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 94.2% 426.99 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 87.5% 322.99 shares
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 94.9% 427 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 85.2% 322.99 shares
- Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?No 94.7% 880 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 76.1% 650 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 63.2% 1,000 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62.3% 1,000 shares