No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $80.32
- Potential payout
- $90.76
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $16.97
Polymarket Trader
vincekaj
0x7076daa54db667ab18c8e196165a375638b6bd81
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $295.19
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $66.66
- Potential payout
- $77.06
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $52.77
- Potential payout
- $54.82
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $30.18
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.51
- Potential profit
- $21.51
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $19.15
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $12.42
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $10.67
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.6%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 3.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 35.71 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 89% 15 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 32.5% 10 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.3% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes 71% 2.82 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93% 32.26 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 9% 10.98 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.6% 29.99 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 11.76 shares