No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.9M
- Potential profit
- $1.89M
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$562.5K
Polymarket Trader
IronyOfLife
0x70798a8b07483242d768acd1bd1fa26b4648155d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.96K
- Realized PnL
- $8.42K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $230.95
- Potential payout
- $153.97K
- Potential profit
- $153.74K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$99.77K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $220.89
- Potential payout
- $147.26K
- Potential profit
- $147.04K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$119.78K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $32.11K
- Potential profit
- $30.44K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.33K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.55K
- Potential profit
- $15.55K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.55K
- Potential profit
- $14.55K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2K
- Potential profit
- $12.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.62K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5% 19,923.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.9% 72,471.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26% 154,044.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26% 76,930.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 67.8% 128,942.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 77.6% 14,053.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88% 56,837.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 89.1% 15,673.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86.8% 41,494.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 90.1% 111,038.83 shares