Polymarket Trader

hetlock

0x70833fae3bec68f0256807ec1dcc586692a349f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $5.02K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $153.81
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $244.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$36.99

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $48.97
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $24.16

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $829.48
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $254.81
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $138.76

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $74.44
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $975.55
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $946.63
Potential payout: $949
Potential profit: $2.37
User PnL: $45.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.72
Potential profit: $928.72
User PnL: -$9.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $879.73
Potential profit: $879.73
User PnL: -$18.59

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $812.6
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $5.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.35
Potential profit: $764.35
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $93.27
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $556.72
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $49.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630.91
Potential profit: $630.91
User PnL: -$32.61

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $488.12
Potential payout: $516.53
Potential profit: $28.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $71.9

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.82
Potential profit: $414.82
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.19
Potential profit: $373.19
User PnL: -$18.63

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $38.1
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $261.9
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: $30.6

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$24

No position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $162
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $138
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $212.24
Potential payout: $263.65
Potential profit: $51.41
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $32.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.52
Potential profit: $256.52
User PnL: -$20.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $191.38
Potential payout: $237.89
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $50.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.72
Potential profit: $232.72
User PnL: -$9.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.72
Potential profit: $232.72
User PnL: -$9.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Down 60% 29.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Up 6% 27.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Down 61% 48.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Up 33% 28.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 5% 18.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 6% 18.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 9% 18.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 21% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 25% 18.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Up 98.9% 101.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 65% 9.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 67% 9.76 shares