No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $26.68K
- Potential payout
- $29.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $214.12
Polymarket Trader
Scoofy-Bubik
0x709a4b4932cffc2d137fdb31c75d9a95842b7e39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.84K
- Realized PnL
- $10.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $20.9K
- Potential payout
- $22.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $802.17
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $18.66K
- Potential payout
- $19.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $232.69
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $18.48K
- Potential payout
- $18.54K
- Potential profit
- $64.91
- User PnL
- $421.8
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $16.33K
- Potential payout
- $16.42K
- Potential profit
- $90.34
- User PnL
- $496.68
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.61K
- Potential profit
- $11.61K
- User PnL
- -$10.09K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.7K
- Potential profit
- $10.7K
- User PnL
- -$10.14K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $9.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $318.5
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.3K
- Potential payout
- $5.85K
- Potential profit
- $556.02
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $121.01
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- User PnL
- $299.75
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.11K
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $38.63
- User PnL
- $261.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $114.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$17.47
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$325
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $368.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $124.05
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.21K
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $222.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17.15
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $18.15
- User PnL
- $92.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.29K
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- User PnL
- $64.35
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $484.84
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $197.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $615
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $195
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $129.01
No position
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $24.6
- User PnL
- $165.8
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $143
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $121
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $754.14
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.32
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.11
No position
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.76
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.84
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.08
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.5
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $269.5
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.63
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.7
No position
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.33
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.03
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.11
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.3
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.1% 5,110 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 11% 9,100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 3,000 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No 90% 1,647 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90% 3,238.47 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 673 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No 93% 2,884 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.7% 1,850 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 96.3% 852.08 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.2% 8,900 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No 89% 499 shares