Polymarket Trader

perden

0x709e096a3310d1723ecfd3ada5d4a0401f20a97d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $248.43
Realized PnL: $68.37
Win rate: 15.8%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $135.09
Potential payout: $177.76
Potential profit: $42.66
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $104.27
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $17.68
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.92
Potential profit: $32.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.22
Potential profit: $12.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $5.49
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.86

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $8.35

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Colombia leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

IR Iran to win the second half?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 78% 5.13 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 81.8% 12.22 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 78% 44.87 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Under 67% 7.46 shares
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Over 33% 13.88 shares
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Over 36% 13.89 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares