Polymarket Trader

icetotea

@ice_to_tea

0x70a1d7a61a175cec22fe9bb1dbace7bcbc4b0a65

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.41
Realized PnL: $9.76
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.54
Potential profit: $511.54
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $15.58
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Paddy Pimblett position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.06

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5.2

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.57
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.9

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.82
Potential profit: $5.82
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $5.34
User PnL: -$3.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Diego Lopes position

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Under position

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.1% 15.58 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 17% 8.77 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett 44% 11.36 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 0.4% 233.33 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 0.5% 206.78 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 34% 5.82 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes 45% 6.67 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 73% 5.34 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 22% 13.63 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 22% 13.64 shares