No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.79
- Potential payout
- $9.71
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x70a6...ffd5
0x70a690456b985ca4cf89301b830bf8fe4590ffd5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $28.16
- Realized PnL
- $61.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $8.81
- Potential payout
- $8.84
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update