No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.54
Polymarket Trader
0xBd17B21E43eEdFb178f7808fc6D4d442092D2FcB
@thedanstark
0x70a6b62e031fc8a71951d565bff6f072dbbcf8cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.99
- Realized PnL
- $5.61
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Solana above $200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Team Secret Whales position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Grizzlies
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Rockets position
Kings vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
$EIGEN transferable before CZ gets out of prison?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
U.S. Recession in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hornets vs. PacersHornets 97.8% 5 shares
- Hornets vs. PacersHornets 97.9% 5 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 95% 5 shares
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales 70% 5 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.1% 5 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 93.9% 5 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.1% 5 shares
- Kings vs. RocketsRockets 97.9% 5 shares
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors 96% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 86% 1.29 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 94% 5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No 91% 5 shares