Polymarket Trader

karn4k

0x70b4f8a55821dee62d7d8e098c062190f65b4e6e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $700.66
Realized PnL: -$0.09
Win rate: 35%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.4K
Potential profit: $27.4K
User PnL: -$27.4

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $700.66
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $4.88K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $288.99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.19
Potential profit: $108.19
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.69
Potential profit: $101.69
User PnL: -$5

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.25
Potential profit: $80.25
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will PSG win in regular time against Flamengo?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.26
Potential profit: $25.26
User PnL: -$2

Flamengo position

FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - Winner

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.25
Potential profit: $12.25
User PnL: -$4.41

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

Yes position

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.63

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 9.7% 2,197.77 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.8% 3,375.09 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 6.3% 2,718.74 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?

Yes 0.1% 27,400 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

No 9.5% 25 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 33.55 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?

Yes 99.9% 22.23 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?

Yes 67% 15.24 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?

Yes 64% 7 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?

Yes 0.5% 29.06 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 33.56 shares