Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.32K
- Potential payout
- $185.65K
- Potential profit
- $183.33K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.24K
Polymarket Trader
caribbeangambler
0x70bc2f87eeae9c27d298db2d075ab0f9844b0c87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.71K
- Realized PnL
- $14.44K
- Win rate
- 68.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.71K
- User PnL
- -$5.16K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.36K
- Potential profit
- $10.36K
- User PnL
- -$4.27K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$4.3K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- User PnL
- -$5.3K
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$444.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.04
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$975.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.96K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.99K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.2% 369.46 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 81.2% 14,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.5% 670.95 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 96% 273.44 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 95.3% 210 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes 26% 697.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 29% 88.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 18% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 19.9% 218.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 17% 985.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 18% 268.82 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4.5% 1,539 shares