Polymarket Trader

23v23113

0x70c286bf7bc39a4821b46a8870075632b908412c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.8
Realized PnL: -$5.83K
Win rate: 34.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 26 be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$2.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will JD Vance say "Biden" 5+ times during meetings with Orbán?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.24

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.74

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.4

Timberwolves position

Celtics vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.49K

Blue Jackets position

Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.68K

Pacers position

Bucks vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

No 15% 63.31 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

No 91% 20 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 16% 50 shares
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Yes 42.1% 100 shares
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Yes 81% 20 shares
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Yes 83.6% 17.74 shares
Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Yes 26% 53.51 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

No 89.1% 400 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?

No 94% 200 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000?

No 17.2% 300 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 51% 3,061.5 shares