Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $48.84
- Potential payout
- $89.62
- Potential profit
- $40.78
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $10.69
Polymarket Trader
edgyyy
0x70cef8c682b7e227acd87ae1312185b7f5a3dd52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.84
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.13
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.75
Yes position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144.09
No position
Will Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.92
No position
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.49
No position
Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's "Untitled" sell for $25m or more?
Ends Nov 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.16
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.38
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.78
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate tweet 260-279 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.82
No position
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.78
No position
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.14
No position
Will based16z be the biggest winner of The House Poker Night?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.31
No position
Will based16z be the first first player to get felted in The House Poker Night?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.25
Yes position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.41
Yes position
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.2
Yes position
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.41
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 90 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.47
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Jan 10-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.46
Yes position
Will Malcolm be the first player to get felted in The House Poker Night?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.45
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.41
Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.13
No position
Will Yayoi Kusama's "Pumpkin" sell for $7m or more?
Ends Nov 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.86
No position
Will Trump tweet 90 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.31
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 50.43 shares
- Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 17-24?Yes 2.4% 21.24 shares
- Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?No 96.9% 20 shares
- Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?No 96.9% 20 shares
- Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No 94% 32 shares
- Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No 99.7% 21 shares
- Was Trump hacked?Yes 0.3% 50.89 shares
- Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?No 96% 20 shares
- Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?No 96% 40 shares
- Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?No 96% 20 shares
- Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?No 91.5% 23 shares
- Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?No 98.5% 30 shares