Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $935
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$115
Polymarket Trader
Forelli
0x70d3640974b945545d3e2eaef8540321f61cad40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168
- Realized PnL
- $261.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$98
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.4
- Potential profit
- $239.4
- User PnL
- -$105.34
Yes position
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $103
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $97
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.25
- Potential profit
- $56.25
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.5
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes 56% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 35% 100 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 13% 400 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 27.3% 100 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 5.9% 129.61 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 35% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 14% 700 shares
- US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes 44% 239.4 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes 11.2% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 60% 200 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 32% 56.25 shares