Polymarket Trader

vague-sourdough

0x70ec235a31eb35f243e2618d6ea3b5b8962bbb5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.5
Realized PnL: $51.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $981.5
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.31
Potential profit: $333.31
User PnL: -$144.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290.02
Potential profit: $290.02
User PnL: -$104.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.96
Potential profit: $256.96
User PnL: -$116.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.65
Potential profit: $216.65
User PnL: -$29.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.44
Potential profit: $158.44
User PnL: -$29.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.64
Potential profit: $157.64
User PnL: -$75.21

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.64
Potential profit: $129.64
User PnL: -$58.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.75
Potential profit: $126.75
User PnL: -$19.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $100.11
User PnL: -$25.04

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.47
Potential profit: $99.47
User PnL: -$55.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.76
Potential profit: $94.76
User PnL: -$40.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.92
Potential profit: $88.92
User PnL: -$30.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$34.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.38
Potential profit: $71.38
User PnL: -$9.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.04
Potential profit: $70.04
User PnL: -$11.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.71
Potential profit: $67.71
User PnL: -$14.74

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.32
Potential profit: $44.32
User PnL: -$18.59

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.05
Potential profit: $43.05
User PnL: -$15.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.58
Potential profit: $40.58
User PnL: -$17.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.96
Potential profit: $39.96
User PnL: -$13.98

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.22
Potential profit: $35.22
User PnL: -$2.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$6.21

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.51
Potential profit: $29.51
User PnL: -$11.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.6% 800 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 97% 27.53 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 95% 9.66 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 95% 28.98 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 95% 9.88 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 95% 26.53 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 32% 29 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 76% 10 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 75% 9.91 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 30% 30.59 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 37% 10.4 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 52% 1.81 shares