Yes position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.61K
- Potential profit
- $195.61K
- User PnL
- -$3.14K
Polymarket Trader
0x70f3F3Ce555E2FcEE4e6D39559a3F8C6
0x70f3f3ce555e2fcee4e6d39559a3f8c6cd982822
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $408.56
- Realized PnL
- -$680.13
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.62K
- Potential profit
- $130.62K
- User PnL
- -$2.54K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $263.25
- Potential payout
- $47.86K
- Potential profit
- $47.6K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$112.91
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $83.22
- Potential payout
- $23.78K
- Potential profit
- $23.69K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$773
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35.08
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$477.16
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $27.01
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$22.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.49
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.49
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46.47
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.49
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$115.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$167.75
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$189.84
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$198.2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.98
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$231.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 2,572.41 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 47,863.57 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.3% 18,596.67 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.3% 1,527.75 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.3% 9,000 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.4% 10,250 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.4% 21,250 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 20,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 4,797.44 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 14,592.44 shares
- Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 0.2% 43,104.42 shares