Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.61
- Potential profit
- $148.61
- User PnL
- -$39.68
Polymarket Trader
Manda
0x70fc4cbd5850c5a6027d66354e76167c60e2800b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.8
- Realized PnL
- $186.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$53.3
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$4.6
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.16
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Epstein files released this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Tim Walz say "Trump" 20 or more times during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Trump's 2025 joint address get >46m viewers?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
East coast port strike ends in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 7-13?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.1% 4.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 98.8% 1.01 shares
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTeam Falcons 52% 5.77 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 2-8?No 98.8% 4.05 shares
- Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes 41% 130 shares
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 95% 2.36 shares
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 87% 2.53 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No 95.1% 12.07 shares
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?No 38% 263.16 shares
- Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No 85.9% 5.36 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No 26% 12.08 shares