Polymarket Trader

vale.glez

0x70fcf41f592c6f1ee8fc0fd45e9bf609fcc288c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.1
Realized PnL: $129.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $368.05
Potential profit: $367.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.37
Potential profit: $288.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.58
Potential profit: $269.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $207.5
Potential profit: $207.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $167.98
Potential profit: $167.48
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.27
Potential profit: $121.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 24, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $9.12
Potential payout: $118.46
Potential profit: $109.34
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $7.12

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.09
Potential profit: $116.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will UAE replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $100.8
Potential profit: $100.6
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $88.75
Potential profit: $88.62
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.44
Potential profit: $84.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.89
Potential profit: $72.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.71
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $67.36
Potential profit: $66.52
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.31
Potential profit: $60.31
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.22
Potential profit: $57.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $52.9
Potential profit: $52.23
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.45

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.39

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.9% 109.37 shares
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

No 18% 5.56 shares
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 37% 2.7 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.3% 4.93 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.1% 77.38 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 89% 12.52 shares