Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.7K
- Potential profit
- $201.7K
- User PnL
- -$203.31
Polymarket Trader
MtnMark
0x70ffe7b3911e0a9474029a42ab8b2f57b799b65f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $24.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.23K
- Potential profit
- $36.23K
- User PnL
- -$502.23
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.44K
- Potential profit
- $22.44K
- User PnL
- -$339.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.82K
- Potential profit
- $19.82K
- User PnL
- -$308.41
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.19K
- Potential profit
- $19.19K
- User PnL
- -$131
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $72.65
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.07K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$411.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.01K
- Potential profit
- $16.01K
- User PnL
- -$300.43
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $126.41
- Potential payout
- $14.87K
- Potential profit
- $14.75K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$201.41
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $207.97
- Potential payout
- $14.34K
- Potential profit
- $14.13K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$406.61
Yes position
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.93K
- Potential profit
- $10.93K
- User PnL
- -$106.66
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- User PnL
- -$116.26
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.03K
- User PnL
- -$273.26
Yes position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $56.63
- Potential payout
- $8.09K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$280.36
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.97K
- User PnL
- -$202.93
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $32.39
- Potential payout
- $7.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$106.22
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06K
- Potential profit
- $7.06K
- User PnL
- -$147.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$69.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- User PnL
- -$168.96
No position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- User PnL
- -$81.87
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $6.06K
- User PnL
- -$151.31
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $565.62
- Potential payout
- $5.92K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$95.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $27.83
- Potential payout
- $5.57K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$335.91
Yes position
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- User PnL
- -$118.53
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- User PnL
- -$25.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02K
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.02
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.72
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.71
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $186.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.49
No position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.89
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.23
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.5
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.82
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.15
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.53
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.9
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.65
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9% 600 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 5.9% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 51% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 15.6% 169.39 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9.9% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.1% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.6% 60.2 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 8.7% 999.72 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9.7% 434.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9% 65 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 11% 296.41 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 10% 500 shares