Polymarket Trader

0xvava

@Valerioli86

0x710723b1c7d0ee7fb2f0ad456f573942e0470ff8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $161
Realized PnL: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $161
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $539
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$61.1

Yes position

Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $683.09
Potential profit: $683.09
User PnL: -$10.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$4.2

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $210
User PnL: -$63.85

76ers position

76ers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$38

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$26

76ers position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.8

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$108

Mavericks position

Clippers vs. Mavericks

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$28

Grizzlies position

Rockets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$24

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Pistons

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$15.2

North Carolina State Wolfpack position

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Auburn Tigers

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21

Utah position

Utah vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$32.5

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Bucks

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Montana Grizzlies position

North Dakota State Bison vs. Montana Grizzlies

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.08

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.76

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.5

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129

Jazz position

Pacers vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.83

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Heat

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.1

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

76ers position

Clippers vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Nets position

Nets vs. Pacers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.99

No position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.93

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Suns position

Suns vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Pelicans position

Mavericks vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.75

Bulls position

76ers vs. Bulls

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Stars position

Oilers vs. Stars

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Mavericks position

Pistons vs. Mavericks

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.99

76ers position

Mavericks vs. 76ers

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 86% 100 shares
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 34% 100 shares
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 19% 200 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 32% 20 shares
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves

Cavaliers 7% 40 shares
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves

Cavaliers 43% 40 shares
Pacers vs. Hornets

Hornets 33% 100 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 73% 7 shares
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?

No 56% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Down 45% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Down 30% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Up 5% 60 shares