Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $58.33
- Potential payout
- $777.78
- Potential profit
- $719.44
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
Polymarket Trader
0x7118...f07c
0x711871b2a9fd51d14e8b65428bb14117eb62f07c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $129.31
- Realized PnL
- -$172.91
- Win rate
- 76.9%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $57.27
- Potential profit
- $44.38
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $6.66
- Potential payout
- $18.24
- Potential profit
- $11.58
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $10.83
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
No position
Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.04
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $9.03
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.77
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.83
Paraguay position
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$282.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 8.3% 9.35 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 7.9% 0.07 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 7.9% 6.67 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 7.9% 0.22 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 7.9% 0.03 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 7.9% 5.11 shares
- Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes 55.4% 9.03 shares
- Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?No 50% 10 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 90.31 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 0.14 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 5.02 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 0.03 shares