Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $11.27K
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Polymarket Trader
S55
0x712433f69c169ebaaa67ce13f3f66f54575e70c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.37K
- Realized PnL
- $41.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.89K
- Potential payout
- $5.59K
- Potential profit
- $698.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $980.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.98K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $12.48
- User PnL
- $308.61
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$387.43
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.57K
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $244.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $773.56
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $357.76
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $228.53
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $67.37
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$304.63
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $262.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $72.25
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $76.05
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $102.95
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $121.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $825
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $131.75
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $718.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$154.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $797.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- User PnL
- $149.2
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $643.3
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $56.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $31.62
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $357.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $475
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $497.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- User PnL
- $32.25
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $489.96
- Potential profit
- $483.84
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$51.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $294.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $50.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980.04
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.51
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $960
No position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.97
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.79
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.36
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.62
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.41
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.63
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $459.66
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 52% 500 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 49% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 500 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No 16% 120.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.2% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 96.5% 950 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87.4% 700 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80% 700 shares