Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- User PnL
- -$226.09
Polymarket Trader
chill.odds
0x712d3c10c2516193a058b1e2ca0b0f23c3bc3d9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $971.61
- Realized PnL
- $2.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump issue 200 or more executive orders in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Solana above $215 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $4.66K
- User PnL
- -$67.91
Yes position
Will Tom Cotton be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.55K
- User PnL
- -$15.31
Yes position
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Three Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$309.98
Yes position
Will Elbridge Colby be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Yes position
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue 28-30 executive orders in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Yes position
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $971.61
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $220.7
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $816.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions position
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Little Rock Trojans position
Little Rock Trojans vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $571.43
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue 75-99 executive orders in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $517
- Potential profit
- $517
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Less than 50 Senators vote to confirm Hegseth?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $334
- User PnL
- -$10.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.24
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.66
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.9
Yes position
Germany confidence vote in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.98
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.09
Dodgers position
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.11
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.5
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.37
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.09
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.4
Suns position
Suns vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.06
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Raptors
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
West Virginia position
West Virginia vs. Houston
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.46
Yes position
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.26
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.26
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.66
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.43
Devils position
Devils vs. Kings
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 116,555.55 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 11,000 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 13% 600 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 50,000 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 13% 592.31 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 55,555.56 shares
- Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 15% 165.61 shares
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.4% 4,999.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.2% 22,414.36 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown 26% 878.97 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp 39.7% 200 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp 20% 200 shares