Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
strideralt
0x712fb78dbc400b8da1979c93e555eeae00e565cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $31.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$136
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- User PnL
- -$13.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$62.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- User PnL
- -$77.37
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$43.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$12.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $955.92
- Potential profit
- $955.92
- User PnL
- -$19.12
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $865.84
- Potential profit
- $865.84
- User PnL
- -$15.24
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $815.76
- Potential profit
- $815.76
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $519.09
- Potential profit
- $519.09
- User PnL
- -$9.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.51
- Potential profit
- $462.51
- User PnL
- -$14.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.85
- Potential profit
- $251.85
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.34
- Potential profit
- $251.34
- User PnL
- -$22.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.28
- Potential profit
- $249.28
- User PnL
- -$24.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.1
- Potential profit
- $181.1
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.4
- Potential profit
- $122.4
- User PnL
- -$67.32
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.12
- Potential profit
- $32.12
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.42K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98K
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.52
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.3
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.25
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.7
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $190
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.01
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.36
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.13
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.87
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 98.6% 643.62 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 98.7% 4,356.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 3?Yes 0.4% 33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?Yes 78.9% 162 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?Yes 73.8% 189.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?Yes 30% 39.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?Yes 55% 122.4 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 97.3% 4,617.82 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 75% 3,964.97 shares
- Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes 99.6% 4,000 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes 0.9% 2,302.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 15?Yes 2.9% 338.45 shares