Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Polymarket Trader
0x713c...41bb
0x713ca000cb7fd9e9b1939b70ed14267f78c541bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $35.14
- Realized PnL
- $1.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $32.73
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $52.28
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $75.68
- Potential profit
- $75.03
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Y
Yes position
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.1
- Potential profit
- $60.1
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $1.66
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.94
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.67
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.65
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.71
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.76
No position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.64
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.31
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.37
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.56
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.87
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.02
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
Yes position
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.64
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.58
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes 40% 85 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Yes 0.9% 8.5 shares
- Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes 7.9% 60.1 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 95.6% 44.12 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 15.8% 60 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 40% 60 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 86.3% 66.73 shares
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.3% 67.56 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 95.6% 66.74 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 2% 197.5 shares
- Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes 81.9% 64.16 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?Yes 4.9% 1,821.46 shares