Polymarket Trader

FieryPhoenix

0x7141bc5dc7db22c2d5b59a9134aecd5cded08345

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $192.97
Realized PnL: $38.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$365.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$100.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$388.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$585.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$121.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$62.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $903.64
Potential profit: $903.64
User PnL: -$290.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $867.79
Potential profit: $867.79
User PnL: -$116.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $192.97
Potential payout: $756.73
Potential profit: $563.76
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$34.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $569.98
Potential profit: $569.98
User PnL: -$142.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.63
Potential profit: $405.63
User PnL: -$318.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.93
Potential profit: $334.93
User PnL: -$28.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.77
Potential profit: $237.77
User PnL: -$11.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.14
Potential profit: $169.14
User PnL: -$65.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.37
Potential profit: $66.37
User PnL: -$34.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.04
Potential profit: $64.04
User PnL: -$28.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.68
Potential profit: $28.68
User PnL: -$22.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.17
Potential profit: $8.17
User PnL: -$6.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $821.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $681.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 54% 0.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 42% 169.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 42% 294.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 9% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 6% 467.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 33.2% 344.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 65% 144.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 64% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 15% 326.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 23.2% 463.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 30% 245.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 33% 88 shares