Polymarket Trader

0x714a14eCeb9E9be14C0cf6Fc4D3b61c0E5CD4a1B-1776162500525

0x714a14eceb9e9be14c0cf6fc4d3b61c0e5cd4a1b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.14K
Realized PnL: $162.26
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $82.33

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.49
Potential profit: $961.49
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $88.24
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.67
Potential profit: $56.67
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.99
Potential profit: $32.99
User PnL: -$6.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.19

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.53

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.92

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.34

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.64

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.94

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.25

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$15.73

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.98

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 33.3% 49.69 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Yes 3.2% 133.33 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Yes 6.1% 60 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Yes 2.1% 512.03 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 5.5% 49.69 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 60 shares
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?

Yes 1.7% 71.42 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Yes 18% 25 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Yes 18% 30 shares
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Yes 63% 158.73 shares