Polymarket Trader

0x714d...c177

0x714dc01f64bcd045221757aee513b702623ec177

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $4.08K
Realized PnL: -$0.1
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $413.74
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$21.78

No position

Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $417.36
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$18.15

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $354.29
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$81.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $141.14
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$28.23

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $338.32
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 5.03x
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $124.99
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: -$27.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $43.88
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $9.05

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $189.42
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $194.35
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$72.88

No position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $128.42
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $955.27
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$46.06

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $104.47
Potential payout: $985.56
Potential profit: $881.09
Multiplier: 9.43x
User PnL: -$20.7

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $104.37
Potential payout: $773.09
Potential profit: $668.72
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $142.33
Potential payout: $769.34
Potential profit: $627.01
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $107.18
Potential payout: $765.54
Potential profit: $658.36
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$15.31

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $97.45
Potential payout: $672.08
Potential profit: $574.63
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$23.52

No position

Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $187.81
Potential payout: $626.04
Potential profit: $438.23
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$62.6

No position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $128.67
Potential payout: $584.88
Potential profit: $456.21
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $120.12
Potential payout: $556.11
Potential profit: $435.99
Multiplier: 4.63x
User PnL: -$3.89

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $185.66
Potential payout: $546.05
Potential profit: $360.4
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $5.46

No position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $62.17
Potential payout: $460.5
Potential profit: $398.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $16.12

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $211.14
Potential payout: $435.33
Potential profit: $224.2
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$2.18

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $65.45
Potential payout: $422.24
Potential profit: $356.79
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$14.78

Yes position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $175.07
Potential payout: $368.57
Potential profit: $193.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $41.39
Potential payout: $344.94
Potential profit: $303.55
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

No 49% 161.64 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 23% 332.6 shares
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?

No 12% 237 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 18% 672.08 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 19% 67 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Yes 17% 7.15 shares
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

No 49% 5 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?

Yes 13% 186.07 shares
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?

Yes 38% 301.6 shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 113.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 9% 231.56 shares
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 10% 7.5 shares