Polymarket Trader

x22x22

0x714e99f9cd6af46e0c7abe302ec641e47c0fd94a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $64.7
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$2

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $515.61
Potential profit: $515.61
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.61
Potential profit: $298.61
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.72
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.88
Potential profit: $99.88
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.39
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $84.77
Potential profit: $78.8
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $60.4
Potential profit: $54.33
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $59.45
Potential profit: $55.86
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $59.3
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $53.76
Potential profit: $51.56
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $43.25
Potential profit: $38.38
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $36.71
Potential profit: $26.38
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $21.91
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.9%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $21.58
Potential profit: $16.87
Multiplier: 4.58x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.2
Potential profit: $15.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 96.77 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 26.09 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 108.7 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 80.65 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 73.53 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 51.55 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 46.3 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 31.06 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 37.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 37% 13.51 shares