Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $37.5K
- Potential profit
- $37.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$56.25
Polymarket Trader
Poivre
0x714f682e577a6892ee921290fd6ad213d11266d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.83K
- Realized PnL
- $8.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $106.02
- Potential payout
- $19.28K
- Potential profit
- $19.17K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $14.82
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.3K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $98.04
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$132.46
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $166.76
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$90.15
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $187.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $82.5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $64.33
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$131.25
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $125.62
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $22.45
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $217.66
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $68.41
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.58
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $94.33
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$25.77
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $100.73
- Potential payout
- $805.86
- Potential profit
- $705.12
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.27
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $320
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $480
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $129.6
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $193.83
- Potential payout
- $760.13
- Potential profit
- $566.3
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $135.41
- Potential payout
- $712.7
- Potential profit
- $577.29
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $55.36
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $112
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $588
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.88
No position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $185.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $514.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $95.96
No position
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $225.16
- Potential payout
- $672.12
- Potential profit
- $446.96
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $78.42
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $110.82
- Potential payout
- $665.57
- Potential profit
- $554.75
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $30.91
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $75.68
- Potential payout
- $658.1
- Potential profit
- $582.42
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$49.36
Yes position
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $32.2
- Potential payout
- $650.48
- Potential profit
- $618.28
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$13.96
Y
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $178.14
- Potential payout
- $647.78
- Potential profit
- $469.64
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $74.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.98
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.35
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $496.91
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.8
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.11
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.79
No position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.72
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $371.03
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.35
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.05
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.76
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.6
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.07
Yes position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.38
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.04
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.07
No position
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.45
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.26
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.51
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.59
Yes position
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.2
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 10% 513.87 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 18% 113.5 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 28% 392.86 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 13.7% 805.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 200 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 25.7% 310.99 shares
- Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?No 1.2% 267.33 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 13% 71.87 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 26% 55 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13% 77 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 51.29 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9% 179.91 shares