Over position
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$173.25
Polymarket Trader
kaifu-lodge
0x71553b3ce6daf9407ef6e93cd969fd2e0283d866
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $408.95
- Realized PnL
- $3.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Paris Basketball position
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$613.92
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $346.8
- Potential payout
- $867
- Potential profit
- $520.2
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$34.68
No position
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" or "Golfing" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $753
- Potential profit
- $753
- User PnL
- -$278.61
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $675
- Potential profit
- $675
- User PnL
- -$60.75
No position
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $609
- User PnL
- -$109.01
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $57.31
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$15.7
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.61
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.91
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.62x
- User PnL
- $263.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.46
N
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.04
No position
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.59
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.96
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.76
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 - 22 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.3
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.16
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $99.4
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.21
No position
Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.02
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.57
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.52
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.49
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.76
Yes position
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.88
No position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.7
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.19
Penn State Nittany Lions position
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $32.76
Yes position
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $22.88
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes 42% 674 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 68% 516 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 83% 335 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 83% 468 shares
- Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No 84% 803 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 83% 516 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No 24% 327 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No 27% 226 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No 82% 431 shares
- Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No 26% 553 shares
- Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?No 80% 265 shares
- Will Elisa win the Legend Trade Series?No 80% 899 shares