Polymarket Trader

0x7157c2AF302585A0AD61c66e0A4cCD50869FA6fF-1767982145783

0x7157c2af302585a0ad61c66e0a4ccd50869fa6ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $174.17
Realized PnL: $612.27
Win rate: 46.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $6.2K
User PnL: -$376.47

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.6K
User PnL: -$359.99

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $4.04K
User PnL: -$167.21

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $174.17
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$76.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.99
Potential profit: $269.99
User PnL: -$27.55

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184
Potential profit: $184
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183
Potential profit: $183
User PnL: -$4.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.42
Potential profit: $100.42
User PnL: -$9.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.14
Potential profit: $95.14
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.86
Potential profit: $67.86
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.33
Potential profit: $63.33
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.77
Potential profit: $60.77
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.51
Potential profit: $33.51
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.65
Potential profit: $19.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.64
Potential profit: $8.64
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $633.38

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.86

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.97

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.68

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60.67

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$125.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 7% 1,700 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 13% 54 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Usyk 93% 6 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Usyk 33% 6 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 19% 280 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 6% 1,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 21% 5.48 shares
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

Yes 0.9% 126.12 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Yes 7% 200 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 11% 55 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 3.5% 315 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 4.2% 500 shares