Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$46
Polymarket Trader
47842366
0x715d8f4b01a797bb0fbf92a5c0b78c5d97377b6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.3
- Realized PnL
- $637.74K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $53.7
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.34K
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.34K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.34K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.34K
No position
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.34K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.34K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.75
Lynx position
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Game 1
Ends Oct 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
Trudeau out in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Canada federal election in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 17% 30 shares
- Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Yes 44% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 23% 200 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 67.5% 30 shares
- Trudeau out in 2024?No 97% 83.39 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No 97.4% 10 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?No 66% 10 shares
- Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No 98% 10 shares
- Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No 98% 10 shares