Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x715Db3caD54164f66D4dEb2bc823Fa10b3151bfA-1782373249477
0x715db3cad54164f66d4deb2bc823fa10b3151bfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.63
- Realized PnL
- -$32.07
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.63
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 11.63 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 21% 30 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 50% 27.66 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 10% 146.34 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 26% 32.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 35% 114.26 shares