Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $89.96
- Potential payout
- $692
- Potential profit
- $602.04
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$124.56
Polymarket Trader
prospekt
@AdasynIzzo12477
0x71664b22a63b07293a5bd377df30a3e77ca5f815
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.02
- Realized PnL
- $669.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.68
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Deel IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.03
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $97.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.2
Yes position
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.01
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $41.64
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $26.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $17.85
Yes position
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.48
Yes position
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
Revolut IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
No position
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $10.76
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 87% 246 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 87% 246 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 63% 120 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 63% 120 shares
- Will Twice release a song in 2026?No 13% 643 shares
- Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No 11% 236 shares
- Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)No 82% 236 shares
- Will Twice release a song in 2026?No 37% 643 shares
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 10% 577 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?No 26% 411 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?No 43% 411 shares
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 13% 577 shares