Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $60.24
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Luckymf
0x71667dba38332aa4606dd92f17658e3edb5680e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.8
- Realized PnL
- $134.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $17.93
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $13.23
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 33.83 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 20 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 88.7% 21.97 shares
- Human moon landing in 2026?No 96.9% 10.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes 85.6% 23.37 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Yes 90% 22.22 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 47.5% 10.52 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes 79% 25.32 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Yes 95% 52.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 83% 60.24 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No 98% 24.69 shares