Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $38.6
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $28.15
Polymarket Trader
Whoisurdaddy
0x71686f4bfbe0e5a1663340b2067f3f6715dde422
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $242.78
- Realized PnL
- $767.5
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $994
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $11.22
- Potential payout
- $863.04
- Potential profit
- $851.82
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $23.19
- Potential payout
- $386.45
- Potential profit
- $363.26
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.81
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $24.45
- Potential payout
- $287.63
- Potential profit
- $263.18
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $258.75
- Potential profit
- $249.05
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $196.39
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $142.5
- Potential profit
- $138.65
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $133.99
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $119.44
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $16.58
- Potential payout
- $114.38
- Potential profit
- $97.79
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Yes position
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.2
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $57.34
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $14.17
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $47.56
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48.3
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $54.9
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $34.02
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.2%
- Current value
- $23.88
- Potential payout
- $35.01
- Potential profit
- $11.13
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $33.74
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$8.19
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $16.99
- Potential profit
- $14.87
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.19
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.23
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.08
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Yes 1.5% 700 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 3.7% 113.02 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 8% 68.81 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 9.09 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over 74% 27.03 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes 11% 45.45 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?Yes 7% 71.43 shares