Polymarket Trader

fireatwill6

0x71687427191cf1041f9b006247389246a8f8e537

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $266.99
Realized PnL: $5.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.18K
Potential profit: $166.18K
User PnL: -$976.98

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$215

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $266.99
Potential payout: $599.97
Potential profit: $332.99
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.83
Potential profit: $361.83
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.56
Potential profit: $255.56
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.75
Potential profit: $230.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.55
Potential profit: $59.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.55
Potential profit: $29.55
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.63
Potential profit: $22.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 63.4%
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: $835.15

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $605.59

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.73

No position

Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.67

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.45

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.98

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.84

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.21

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.99

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.06

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.83

No position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.79

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.55

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.03

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.31

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.22

No position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 20.4% 224.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 44.5% 224.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 33.7% 192.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 52% 192.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 15% 666.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 13% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 16% 31.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 19% 26.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 35.2% 283.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 43.2% 2,437.48 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 43.2% 542.55 shares